Innovation Blog

 Norway’s Tragedy: A Sense of Proportion

By Shlomo Maital

         The enormous tragedy caused by Norway’s lone deranged extremist terrorist is difficult for anyone to fathom, especially the serene Norwegians. 

         I have tried to put the loss of life in proportion.  My arithmetic may seem insensitive to some, but perhaps of some value to others.

         America’s population is 311.8 million.  Norway’s population is 4.923 m.  So America’s population is 63 times that of Norway.

        In 9/11, America lost 2,752 lives.  In the recent attack, Norway lost 93 lives.    Loss of life in 9/11 was 30 times that of Norway’s incident.

        In other words, Norway’s tragedy, relative to its small population, was twice as massive as 9/11.  Take into account as well that many of those murdered in Norway were youths.

         Israel has grappled with Islamic terrorism for decades.  It has to this day forced Israel to place armed guards with magnetometers at the entrance to every shopping center, supermarket and coffee shop.  While we take this for granted, it is a heavy burden. Norway is now realizing that the serenity, naivety and openness of its society may have been lost forever – the fact that it took police well over an hour to get to the scene of the crime on Utoya Island must never ever recur, even taking into account the fact the Norwegian police were preoccupied with the earlier bomb blast in central Oslo.   Norway, a key player in the effort to attain Mideast peace in the Oslo Agreements, is ironically now learning how a handful of deranged murderous idiots can forever alter society – as Israel learned long ago.

Innovation Blog

 Top Social Entrepreneurs Change the World

By Shlomo Maital

 Jeff Sheinbein and Kevin McCracken

Bloomberg Businessweek ran a contest in which several thousand readers voted for which social entrepreneurship idea they most liked.   Here are a few of the top ones chosen, including Social Imprint, #1, which got some 15 per cent of all the votes:

 ●  Social Imprints, a print shop, garnered 15.7 percent of the nearly 3,000 votes readers cast since we published profiles of 25 finalists in June. Co-founded by Jeff Sheinbein and Kevin McCracken, who overcame heroin and alcohol addiction himself, the 3-year-old company employs seven people and had $2 million in revenue last year.

● Dalberg, a New York-based consultant focused on international social and environmental problems, came in second with 15.4 percent of readers’ votes. Founded by veterans of McKinsey in 2001, Dalberg has sales above $15 million and 120 employees in 10 global offices.

● Close behind was Intuary, the maker of an iPad app that helps people who can’t speak communicate, with 15.3 percent of readers’ votes. The 5-employee startup is launched the app, called Verbally, in March and is projecting sales of $200,000 this year.

● Nest Collective, which sells healthy children’s food under the Plum Organics baby food brand and Revolution Foods lunchbox snacks, got 8.5 percent of readers’ votes. The 26-employee company, founded in 2007, had $15 million in revenue last year.

● StayClassy, an online fundraising platform for small nonprofits, received 6.2 percent of readers’ votes. The 6-year-old company had $250,000 in revenue last year and has helped 2,000 nonprofits raise more than $5 million.

     Social entrepreneurship is booming, as innovators act to fill the gap created by growing social distress, on the one hand, and shrinking government resources and energy, on the other. 

    What is YOUR idea for a change-the-world business – note that both the noun and the adjective are crucial.   

Global Crisis/Innovation Blog

Brazil Helps the Poor – And Helps Itself

By Shlomo Maital

   Check out Brazil!   While eyes are focused on nations drowning in debt (US, Europe), according to the World Bank:

  Brazil weathered the global financial downturn with relatively minor impacts. The country was one of the last to fall into recession in 2008 and among the first to resume growth in 2009. Brazil’s GDP grew 7.5 percent in 2010 and is expected to grow approximately 4 percent in 2011. Brazilians are benefiting from stable economic growth, low inflation rates and improvements in social well-being. 

   Credit former President Lula da Silva with policies that maintained stable economic growth in a stable political climate, while making sure to spread the benefits to the underclass, the uneducated, the unskilled. 

●  Poverty ( US$2 per day) has fallen markedly, from 20 percent of the population in 2004 to 7 percent in 2009.

● Extreme poverty (  US$1.25 per day) also dropped dramatically, from 10 percent in 2004 to 4 percent in 2009.

●  Between 2001 and 2009, the income growth rate of the poorest ten percent of the population was 7 percent per year, while that of the richest ten percent was 1.7 percent.  This helped decrease income inequality (measured by the Gini index) from 0.596 to 0.54 in the period.

●  Key drivers of this have been low inflation, consistent economic growth, well-focused social programs, and a policy of real increases for the minimum wage.

  Brazil’s new  President,    Dilma Rousseff,  promises to continue Lula’s policies.  

  Perhaps, in addition to studying how Brazil makes ethanol out of sugar cane, the world needs to benchmark how it advances the working classes.

   It is of course true that Brazil still has one of the world’s most unequal distributions of income and wealth. But at least, it is working to mitigate it. 

    Many countries simply accept growing inequality as a fact of life.  It isn’t. Brazil is proof. 

Innovation Blog

Entrepreneurship the Hard Way:  In the Eye of the Storm

By Shlomo Maital

  

 Dov Frohman had an illustrious career with Intel U.S., then decided he wanted to return to his homeland, Israel. Intel agreed to have him set up a development team in Haifa in the early 1970s;  one of the early products, developed by perhaps two engineers, was a math co-processor.  Later the team pioneered the Pentium, and then, the Centrino chipset.  Dov built the innovative culture of Intel’s R&D group in Haifa. 

   In his book Leadership the Hard Way, Frohman makes a key point, which he stressed in a recent interview:

“I think any genuine leader today has to learn leadership the hard way—by doing it. That means embracing turbulence and crisis, not avoiding it. It means “flying through the thunderstorm.” That’s not to say that there are no basic principles to orient you to the challenge. Indeed, I describe some in the book. But there are no simple recipes. Until you have lived it, you don’t really know how to do it. That’s what I mean by “leadership the hard way.”

   I believe the same principle applies to entrepreneurship and innovation. Until you launch a business, and fly directly into the eye of the storm, and then emerge on the other side, you will never really learn this skill.  The longer you delay flying into the storm, the less likely it is you will ever do it.  

   Frohman relates how the idea for the book came to him:

  I’m an active pilot, and one time I actually found myself caught in a thunderstorm. It was too late to turn back; I just had to fly through it. What was so interesting to me, afterwards, was that despite all my years of training and flying, none of it really prepared me for the experience of being in the middle of the storm. All the things that I had ever learned about flying were far from my mind. There were too many things going on at once, too many contingencies that I couldn’t predict or anticipate. Instead, I was consumed by the crisis, operating on instinct, reacting rapidly to the developments of the moment. I think leadership is like that: it can’t be done by the book. Rather, it means having the capacity to respond appropriately in an instant.

   Substitute “entrepreneurship” for “leadership” in the next-to-last line, and the passage works just as well.  

     I teach entrepreneurship and try  to provide useful tools for my students. But I agree with Dov Frohman – Just do it.  That’s always my final message to my students.

Innovation Blog

Lucien Freud Dies at Age 88: What He Taught Us

By Shlomo Maital

  “Benefits Supervisor  Sleeping” 

Sigmund Freud’s grandson, Lucien Freud, a portrait artist, has died at age 88.  I think innovators can learn a lot from his life and work.

   “Don’t try to surprise!  Don’t try to shock!”  he once said.  “That only works once.”  Today a great deal of art, and for that matter, innovation, seeks desperately to surprise and to shock.  For example, Robert Rauschenberg, an artist once painted a canvas pure white.  He was lauded. The painting sold for $2.8 million.  (A deranged woman even defaced it once!).  But, what next? How many all-white canvases can you do?   Freud worked patiently at his portrait skills, gradually evolving a style that was realistic, but also had elements of surrealism and expressionism.  He found his own style, rather than copy that of others.

   Lucien Freud listened to his own inner voice. In an age when nearly all painters paint in abstract style, he was figurative.   He painted real people, recognizably.  But unlike many classic portrait painters, he never glorified his subjects or air-brushed away the pimples and warts.  The opposite – he revealed the person, as he or she truly was.  He once said, “I want the paint to work as flesh.  The paint IS the person!”  

    In 2008, his nude portrait of a heavy-set civil servant reclining on a sofa, “Benefits Supervisor Sleeping,” sold for $33.6 million at a Christie’s auction, a record figure at the time.

  Born in Berlin in 1922, Freud was one of three sons of Austrian architect Ernst Freud and his German wife, Lucie. The family fled Nazi Germany in 1933 and eventually settled in London.  During World War II, the budding artist served with the British merchant navy.

       Look closely at his portrait of the “Benefits Supervisor Sleeping”.  What do you see?  What do you feel?  Do you find innovation in it?  Do you hate it?  Love it?  Or both?   

Innovation Blog

 Greeks and Arabs are Greeks and Arabs Only in America:

The REAL Greek Debt and Arab Spring Crisis

By Shlomo Maital

      Here is an ongoing mystery:  

 ● In the United States, there are 1.5 million persons of Greek descent (Wikipedia).  There are also 1 m. Greeks in Britain.  They are known for their entrepreneurial energy, especially in the food business but extending far beyond.    

● In America, there are 4 million persons of Arab descent. According to a study by Samia el Khoudry,  “Arab-Americans are  younger, more educated, more affluent and more likely to own a business [than native-born Americans].  In general, Arab-Americans are better educated than the average American.   More of them attend college, and they earn masters or higher degrees at twice the average rate.  Median household income is strikingly higher for Arab-Americans in the Pacific, Northeast, New England, and South Atlantic regions, exceeding $50,000 annually.  Arab-Americans are significantly more likely to become entrepreneurs than native Americans.”

   The mystery is,  why are Greek Americans, and Arab Americans, more dynamic, entrepreneurial and business-oriented in America, than are Greeks and Arabs in their own countries?

   It’s no mystery.  The simple answer:  Because they can. Because the social and economic context of America permits their native culture to flourish, while the social and economic context in their native countries stifles entrepreneurship.  Greek bureaucracy is horrendous, starting a business there is a nightmare.  In many Arab countries, like Syria, the regime doles out business fiefdoms like pieces of candy to its supporters; small entrepreneurs don’t have a chance. 

   Writing in his NYT column, Tom Friedman quotes an Athens Univ. business professor Dimitris Bourantas, who says that “Greeks, when they move to the US, unleash their skills and entrepreneurship in ways that enable them to thrive in commerce.  But here in Greece, the system encourages just the opposite.  Greece is the only country in the world where Greeks don’t behave like Greeks.” 

   The short-run solution to the Greek debt crisis, and to the Arab Spring’s economic crisis, is to provide funds.  The long-run solution?  Help Greeks and Arabs be Greeks and Arabs in their own countries, to unleash the nuclear energy of enterprise.   It works – America is proof.

    “Become who you are,” Nietzsche once said.  Let’s hope Greece and Arab Spring nations will help their citizens to become who they truly are.  That is the true, and simple, solution to their economic woes. 

 

Innovation Blog

Why Scientists Compete – When They Should Collaborate: “Market Failure” in Knowledge Production

By Shlomo Maital

  A short article in Elsevier’s on-line publication Academic Executive Brief, which covers academic research, *  reveals the following:

      From 2000 to 2008, success rates  dropped  for the National Institutes of Health R01eqivalent grants, from over 30 per cent of all applicants to under 20  per cent,  while at the same time the average age of awardees increased.  This trend exacerbates pressure on researchers who, particularly in the early stages of their careers, are driven by the need to further themselves.    Survey results show that 74% of scientists, on average, believe that access to other researchers’ data benefits — or would benefit — their own research; however, only 54% are willing to allow other researchers access to their raw research data. And the gap is increasing over time.  Academics may also be disinclined to share and collaborate because of the nature of the reward structure in science, which esteems first discoverers.

    This is a massive “market failure” in the production of knowledge.  Essentially it replicates the situation of ‘monopoly’ in business.  By building an incentive system that rewards egoistic selfish behavior, universities have done serious damage to the way research is done.  Just as free competition benefits business, and anti-trust bans monopolies and cartels, so should collaboration on data sources benefit science.  Why should cartels be banned in business and allowed and even encouraged in scientific research?

   There is a simple solution.  Make it a condition of scientific research grants, that all data must be openly shared. After all, the money for these grants is taxpayer-funded.  It is incumbent on universities, therefore, to optimize its use.  By fostering little research-lab monopolies, the money is wasted.  Require researchers to upload their data onto the Web – and watch science take off.   I believe that in the end, this will benefit all researchers.  Knowledge is like love – the more you give it away, the more you get in return.  

     The problem is definitely one of “Prisoner’s Dilemma” – it doesn’t pay for any one researcher to collaborate and give away data, but if everyone did it, all would benefit.  So, on a count of three – one, two three – everybody, say,   here’s my data!  

  • Andrew Plume, “Why Scientists Don’t Share – And Why They Should”. 

Innovation Blog

will.i.am (Black Eyed Peas): Intel’s new creative asset   

By Shlomo Maital

   will.i.am,  Black Eyed Peas 

   It has taken me six months to learn about it, but, better late than never – a report in Computer World last January notes that Intel has made a creative appointment to enhance its creativity:

   William James Adams Jr, better known as Will.i.am of the popular music group Black Eyed Peas, was named Intel’s new director of creative innovation, the chip maker said Tuesday.  Adams, a Grammy winner with multiple platinum albums, will work with Intel on developing new technologies, music and in technology advocacy, Intel said in a statement.  It is “a multi-year, hands-on creative and technology collaboration with Intel,” the chip giant said. 

Will.i.am kicked off his own music apps company this week, Will.i.apps, with an app called BEP360 on iTunes, featuring a 360 degree video of the song “The Time (Dirty Bit).” Users can move their iPad, iPhone or iPod Touch around for a 360-degree view of the music video on their screen, similar to the way Google Sky works. Will.i.apps aims to develop applications that more creatively use advanced digital technologies in music and videos.

“That’s the kind of digital media that we want to tap into, that kind of brain,” said David Dickstein, an Intel spokesman. He said Will.i.am already has an Intel employee badge and may soon have a workspace at the company.

  Intel is making desperate efforts to read the future in order to position its new products to capitalize on it.   Intel now believes that multimedia will be a huge new market for its microprocessors.   At the same time Intel appointed will.i.am,  it also  announced that Erik Huggers, director of the BBC’s Future Media & Technology division, will join Intel as corporate vice president and general manager of its Digital Home Group.

   Computer World reports that HP too has joined the parade.  Hewlett-Packard, for example, is using sound technology developed in tandem with rapper Dr. Dre in multimedia laptops, called Beats Audio.  The goal, according to HP, is “to provide the optimal sound experience — the way the artist intended it — when playing music or audio through headphones or external speakers.”

   The Intel and HP appointments indicate a growing trend in innovation – Make the consumer, or in this case, the actual producer (of media), a key partner in the process.   Democratized innovation, the title of Eric von Hippel’s book, has truly arrived. 

Global Crisis/Innovation Blog

 “Desperation Rises over Debt Crises”:  It’s All a Sham!

By Shlomo Maital

US debt mountain?  $14.6 trillion?  Nope…less than $10 trillion.  

That is the headline in the Global New York Times, on the front page. Desperation. As Obama storms out of negotiations with the Republicans, again America walks to the edge, and global capital markets ponder the specter of American not able to pay for its bonds when they mature, after August 2.

   And it’s all a sham!  Because America is not even close to its legal debt ceiling of about $14.5  trillion.  In fact, it is $4.6 trillion below it!

   Here is why.   The current total public debt outstanding of the United States is approximately $14.22 trillion dollars.   Of this total, $9.6 trillion is “debt held by the public”, while the remainder (approximately $4.6 trillion) is in the form of “intragovernmental holdings”.   “Debt held by the public” is debt that has been purchased by pension funds, foreign governments, foreign investors, American investors, etc. If you buy a US savings bond, then this goes into the “debt held by the public” category.  This is real debt, owed by the U.S. govt. 

    But what are “intragovernmental holdings”?   It is “balances of Treasury securities held by over 230 individual federal government accounts with either the authority or the requirement to invest excess receipts in special US Treasury securities that are guaranteed for principal and interest by the full faith and credit of the US Government”.

   Translation: Money the U.S. govt. owes…to itself.  In other words: On a balance sheet, the liability is offset by an asset (the money that the debt was sold for). 

   According to the Government Account Office GAO:   “The majority of intragovernmental debt holdings are Government Account Series (GAS) securities. GAS securities consist of par value securities and market-based securities, with terms ranging from on demand to 30 years.”    As of September 30th, 2010, gross intragovernmental debt holdings totaled approximately $4.53 trillion.   A large majority of this intra-governmental debt (57 per cent) was held by the Social Security Administration Trust Fund, the sum of $2.399 trillion.  This is money the Federal Govt. owes to itself!   And the debt is backed by an asset – the money itself!

    So why is it included in the official legal definition of “US public debt”?  Why is it subject to the official U.S. govt. debt ceiling?  And why is this crisis over America’s debt occurring, over a hugely mistaken interpretation of what debt is? 

    If you, John Q. Public, owe $100, let’s say, and you have a $100 bill in your pocket, is your net debt $100?  Or is it zero?

   Why then is the U.S. Govt. treated differently?

  It beats me.  The whole U.S. debt ceiling crisis is a sham, a misunderstanding.

  That won’t prevent global capital markets from a major nervous breakdown, come August 2 and no agreement. 

    There is simply no end to the ways the world of finance complicates matters, to mystify innocent bystanders.  We are heading for a global crisis, because the way America’s public debt is defined is misguided, mistaken, misinterpreted and wrongheaded.

     Can someone please explain this to the Republicans? 

Global Crisis/Innovation Blog

Euro Crisis: Italy is the REAL Problem!

By Shlomo Maital

       If  little Greece (11 m. people) and tiny Ireland (6 m. people) rattled Europe’s windows, because of their debts, Italy is about to blow up Europe’s shaky house.  Here is why.  Italy is huge (60 m. people, $2 trillion economy,  $34,000 per capita GDP), and nearly bankrupt.  Italy has the world’s third largest bond market, and its public debt is 120 per cent of GDP.  (The comparable figure for Greece was 115 per cent in 2009, but that will rise to 149 per cent, says the IMF, by 2013).  According to the Financial Times:

    “Global banks’ exposure to Italy dwarfs their exposure in the three eurozone countries that have already been bailed out – Greece, Portugal and Ireland. In fact, at $262bn, the aggregate sovereign claims of foreign banks on Italy exceed  their combined sovereign exposures to Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain, which total about $226bn, according to research by analysts at Collins Stewart.”

 Who holds Italian Government bonds?

    “French banks hold nearly $98bn worth of Italian sovereign debt, while Germany holds $51.2bn, according to the Bank for International Settlements. Italy is such an integral part of the financial system that most developed countries have a material exposure – Japan, for example, has a sovereign exposure of $29bn, according to Collins Stewart.  Within Italy itself, about 65 per cent of domestic banks’ own equity is exposed to the sovereign [debt], according to the Bank for International Settlements.”

In other words: Default by Italy on its bonds will bring down Italian banks, and severely shake banks in France and in Germany. 

      How close is Italy to default?  Close.  In the past few days, interest rates on Italian bonds have risen to three percentage points higher than rates on German bonds.  Why? According to The Economist, “this week’s anxiety was caused in part by a quarrel between Silvio Berlusconi, the prime minister, and Giulio Tremonti, the finance minister, and by uncertainty over the passage of an austerity budget.”  

    What a superb time for Italy’s skirt-chasing Prime Minister to quarrel with his Finance Minister.  The $68 b. budget cut passed Italy’s Parliament – but its shaky government and embattled PM bode ill. 

     While everyone watches Greece, Italy has begun a dangerous slide down the slippery slope of higher interest rates, rising risk premiums and increasing difficulty to recycle its bonds. According to one expert, if the risk premium on Italian Government bonds rises to 5 percentage points above German bunds, Italy will be bankrupt.  Right now, the gap is 3.  It is worth thinking carefully what it might mean if Italy needs a bailout. Who will bail it out?  By how much? What will be the terms?  I expect a lot of European bankers and officials are losing a lot of sleep over Italy.  Greece, in comparison, will seem like a tea party.

 

Blog entries written by Prof. Shlomo Maital

Shlomo Maital

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