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2020 Vision: What Does 2030 Hold in Store

 By   Shlomo Maital

     20/20 means that you can see things at a distance of 20 feet that normal eyes see at that distance. 20/100 means, you need to be 20 feet from something to see it, when normal eyes see it at a distance of 100 feet. In the metric system, 20/20 translates to 6/6.

         So if we all had 20/20 vision to see what the year 2030 holds in store, what would we see and what can we say about it, as we greet the New Year 2020?

         The New York Times International Edition comes to the rescue today. Some dozen public figures weigh in.

   * Edward Snowden, who stole crucial NSA files and software, thinks the Internet will become a weapon of the rich, and berates server farms for gobbling massive amounts of electricity.                   * Democratic presidential candidate Andrew Yang want us to put “people ahead of profits” and rethink how we work and create jobs. * editor Ezra Klein wants us to stop killing 70 billion animals for food each year. *  Mark Blyth, politics prof, thinks the only issue for the new decade will be climate change…and thinks we’ll continue to wail about it and do nothing.*  Caity Weaver, NYT author, sees ads becoming more and more personalized (“in 2030 the only ads I encounter will be for products I would kill to buy”)…[say, who in the world would ‘kill to buy’ anything??]. * Mike Gallagher, Republican congressman, warns that in 2030 there will be a Chinese Communist Internet. * Alexandra Scaggs, financial analyst, warns that we will have to become legal businesses in order to work in the gig economy, which dominates. * Stacey Abrams (Democrat candidate from Georgia, possible VP candidate) sees America becoming majority/minority by 2030 (i.e. minorities will rule, there will be no single majority ethnic group); * Jami Attenberg, novelist, sees community bookstores thriving. * Dambisa Moyo, economist, warns against the population explosion that will bring world population to 9 billion by 2030. *  Gary Kasparov, chess master, warns the world is moving to a post-truth fake news reality, like that he grew up with, in the old Soviet Union. Min Jin Lee, novelist, thinks that by 2030 religion will have a stronger hold on young people. * P.W. Singer, cybersecurity specialist, thinks everything in our lives will be networked, in smart cities. Larry David, comic writer and producer, thinks “the next big trend will be outright, brazen lying”.

     And, the icing on the cake, in a separate “Strategies” blog   Jeff Sommer warns us, again, that “stock market forecast are less than worthless” (why less? Because people believe and act on them, this does damage).

     Some, all or none of this might come to pass. ‘

     So, as we greet the new year and new decade –   take special good care of your loved ones, surround yourself with people you love and admire, do good, cause no pain, challenge yourself daily, find ways to create value and stay relevant, look after your health, and be happy.   And if you do, the coming decade will take care of itself.

Are Parents & Schools Failing Our Children?

Future Work Skills for 2020

By Shlomo   Maital    


                future skills                 


  I have a strong feeling that both we parents and the schools are letting  kids down, by not preparing them properly for the future – for acquiring the key skills they will need to change the world.   A study by the Institute for the Future (Univ. of Phoenix, 2011) uses a ‘signals’ methodology (a new product, practice, market, policy or technology, in one locale, that has bigger implications globally) to identify the ten key skills for the future workforce.  Here is the list, and the definition of each.  Check whether your kids’ schools are helping develop these skills, and whether you, as parents, are too.  If you get less than 6 out of 10 …you (and the schools) flunk.  Note how many of these skills involve creative problem-solving. 

1. Sense-making (ability to determine the deeper meaning or significance of what is being expressed).    1

2.  Social intelligence (ability to connect to others in a deep and direct way) 1

3. Novel and adaptive thinking (proficiency at thinking and coming up with solutions nad responses beyond what is rule-based or rote-based)

4.  Cross-cultural competency (ability to operate in different cultural settings) 1

5. Computational thinking (ability to translate vast amounts of data into abstract concepts1

6. New-media literacy (ability to critically assess and develop content that uses new media forms, and leverage them 1

7. Transdisciplinarity (literacy in and ability to understand concepts across multiple disciplines) 1

8. Design mindset (ability to represent and develop tasks and work processes for desired outcomes) 1

9. Cognitive load management (ability to discriminate and filter information for importance, maximize cognitive functioning) 1

10. Virtual collaboration (ability to work productively, drive engagement, and demonstrate presence as a member of a virtual team). 1

Blog entries written by Prof. Shlomo Maital

Shlomo Maital