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Labor Unions’ Last Stand
By Shlomo Maital
Some 50,000 General Motors workers, members of the UAW United Auto Workers, are striking; the strike is over 3 weeks old, and each side has now hardened its position.
Strikes were quite rare for two decades or more in the US. But last year, half a million workers went on strike. So – what is going on?
GM workers face a bleak future. Car producers are shifting to electric vehicles (including in China) and producing those takes far fewer workers. Moreover, car production today is highly roboticized. GM, which was bailed out by the US government during the 2008 financial crisis, is now highly profitable; but it has no intention of getting locked into an expensive labor contract, when it plans to shed thousands of workers and close plants.
In the 1950’s a third of all workers belonged to unions, in the US. Today it is just about one in ten. As manufacturing migrated to Asia, and services dominated, unions shrank. Service jobs are mostly non-union. Moreover, employers switched to hiring temporary or contract workers, who have no social or pension rights, to cut costs. Google, for instance, employs more such ‘temps’ than regular employees. (Recently, a group of Google contract workers in Pittsburgh organized themselves into a union – a trend that may spread).
GM workers get minimal strike pay – but they are determined. So is GM. In a global economy, GM can produce anywhere – in Mexico, or even in China. So labor has become a commodity whose price is cheap and getting cheaper at times. This has devastated the middle class, where once UAW jobs paid $24 an hour and more. Those jobs are disappearing.
The impoverishment and commoditization of labor in the US– one of the negative consequences of globalization – have been largely ignored, even by Obama and the Democrats. One result, I believe, was Trump’s election. Trump’s promise to bring manufacturing back to the US is utterly empty. But his voters, blue collar workers, choose to vote for someone who voices their pain, even if they know his promises are utterly hollow.
At the Battle of the Little Bighorn, Custer’s last stand, the Lakota, Cheyenne and Arapaho tribes defeated the US Army’s 7th Cavalry. The underdogs won.
I’m afraid that in the UAW’s last stand against GM, the labor underdogs will lose. And the only Democrat presidential candidate who seems to notice is the dark horse candidate Andrew Yang, who wants to pay workers a guaranteed income. Sooner or later, we may all come to realize that there is no other choice.
Reinventing the Automobile: GM & Ford vs. Startup Guy
By Shlomo Maital
“In the ring, weighing in at about four ounces, is Silicon Valey startup guy Paul Elio. Facing him, weighing in at 24,382 tons, is …General Motors, Ford, and VW. 12 rounds for the innovation championship in motor cars.”
No contest. A startup to make cars? Non-starter, right? Well, Paul Elio has done it. There is a long LONG waiting list to buy the Elio automobile, a 3-wheeler, that gets…84 miles per gallon! (Beats even the hybrids!). The car is American made! And its cost? $6800. (About the cost of 2.5 high-end Armani backpacks). Here is what the Elio website says:
“A few short years ago, automotive enthusiast Paul Elio sized up the prevailing status quo of personal transportation. He saw the soaring costs of the vehicles we drive. He saw fuel prices spike to record highs almost daily. He saw Americans struggling with an economy that was taking too much and giving back too little. Paul Elio decided that the world was ready for something radically new. The result? A three-wheeled masterpiece of automotive brilliance that bears his name.” Elio’s vision? “To provide a fun-to-drive, super-economical personal transportation alternative, that’s affordable, safe, and environmentally friendly. We are committed to the American dream, creating American jobs, and bringing American automotive ingenuity to every vehicle we build. This is, and will remain our mission at Elio.”
The boxing match has begun. It ends as soon as it begins. Elio knocks out the automobile giants. Why? Big companies cannot innovate. By definition. They would never let a car like the Elio get past the drawing board. Low margins. Etc.
Elio Motors might yet fail. But like Tesla, it could spur the car companies to actually try something innovative. Innovation comes from rebels. And rebellion is the last thing big companies seek or even allow.
Kudos to Paul Elio! And Big Oil? Think about trying another business.